The Market Knows a Lot More Than You Do.: 道琼工业(DJI)和新加坡海峡指数(STI)简析

Investing is an art and highly emotional and subjective.

When buying stocks, if your buying decisions are based on"insiders' information or rumours" and not sound analysis, then you are gambling. Many investors enter the market when stocks prices are high (lacking of confidence to enter beforehand when prices were low). Once the stocks market crash, they tend to sell out their shares out of fear and pessimism, swearing to "chop off their fingers" and never enter the stocks market again. If such situation happens, all their previous gains may be wiped out and suffered a loss.

Investing is an art and highly emotional and subjective. Subjectivity is largely controlled by our emotions. There are times when we are optimistic or pessimistic. If we are unable to control our emotional weakness, we are unlikely to become successful investors.

To be successful, you must first understand yourself, in particular your emotions and the degree of pressure you can tolerate.

The investors should also analyse the country's economic prospects together with the earnings outlook of the major listed companies.

It is imperative that you like Mathematics as the sound mathematical knowledge plays a key role in investment.

财富為了实现梦想;而非梦想拥有财富 .
美元对亚洲货币走势图

Saturday, October 31, 2009

道琼工业(DJI)和新加坡海峡指数(STI)简析

总结10月份,道琼工业(DJI)指数的走势.
DJI全月只微涨0.45点,虽然10月内指数有数次突破10000点.
但始终并没多大的挺进.
11月份的走势会如何?
以中期的角度来分析,DJI应守在9379点的支持位之上,以延续第3波的涨势.
预测的目标点在10529.
如是强波目标点则在12056.

如DJI失守9379点,调整波正式开始.重要支持在8911点.

预测11月分波动空间
8660-10766
预测本周波动空间
9329-10097

中期支持与阻力参考
阻力点 10355; 10657 ;10958
支持点 9355 ; 9108 ; 8860

以目前的点位和均线系统来看,DJI走势有走弱迹象但还为出现悲观的离场讯号.

新加坡海峡指数(STI)
总结10月份,新加坡海峡指数(STI)的走势.
STI全月微跌21.44点,10月份走势较为平坦.
以中期的角度来分析,STI正处于盘整阶段.
目前并没显示多大走势方向.
如要延续涨势2576需要守着.
如失守2576调整波将会显现.
重要支持在2249点.

预测11月分波动空间
2366-2936
预测本周波动空间
2552-2750

中期支持与阻力参考
阻力点 2758; 2870 ;2961
支持点 2437; 2249 ;2098

如股友们有留意,我之前减仓的预警.
相信在这波的调整波的来临前,
都可避开不必要的损失和保主大部分的盈利.
但我并不建议股友卖光股票离场,毕竟市场还不至于那么悲观.
适度的作出资金和投资组合调整是策略上的需要.

下周一,股市开盘或许会出现较大的跌幅.
手持现金的股友,在还未理清走势方向前,忌入市抢反弹.
2009 FOMC MEETINGS 在3和4号.
周三至周五的波动会比较激烈.
适合投机客的玩法,保守者建议观望.