The Market Knows a Lot More Than You Do.

把简单的事情变复杂，那是智力低下的表现。投资并不复杂，即使你只掌握一种有效的投资方法，那么其它一万种无效的方法都无法和其相提并论。把复杂的事情变简单，这需要一定的智慧。找到一种相对简单的投资方法并且从中获利，这应是所有致力于投资市场的投资者共同的愿望，也是我一直研究的投资课题之一。Polish your skills,and the money will follow. 趋势投资法是「寧买当头起、莫买当头跌」，「不估顶、不抄底」，不感情用事，做一个冷静投资者。何时做到buy low sell high？不要buy low and sell high！因為你不知How low is low, how high is high！所谓站在高处未算高、一山还有一山高。站在低处未算低、到了海边仍有「深深深」（deep, deep, deep）。应该寧买当头起、莫买当头跌。

Investing is an art and highly emotional and subjective.

When buying stocks, if your buying decisions are based on"insiders' information or rumours" and not sound analysis, then you are gambling. Many investors enter the market when stocks prices are high (lacking of confidence to enter beforehand when prices were low). Once the stocks market crash, they tend to sell out their shares out of fear and pessimism, swearing to "chop off their fingers" and never enter the stocks market again. If such situation happens, all their previous gains may be wiped out and suffered a loss.

Investing is an art and highly emotional and subjective. Subjectivity is largely controlled by our emotions. There are times when we are optimistic or pessimistic. If we are unable to control our emotional weakness, we are unlikely to become successful investors.

To be successful, you must first understand yourself, in particular your emotions and the degree of pressure you can tolerate.

The investors should also analyse the country's economic prospects together with the earnings outlook of the major listed companies.

It is imperative that you like Mathematics as the sound mathematical knowledge plays a key role in investment.

财富為了实现梦想;而非梦想拥有财富 .
美元对亚洲货币走势图

Saturday, March 28, 2009

DJI简析

本周DJI的走势在前周调整2日后,周一开盘便走高,涨势凌厉.
全周大涨497点.全周高点7969点.
如取6440-7624波段调整为计算基础.
那依据不同强势的目标点是:
7946 ; 8399 ; 9130

目前看来7946点已经达标,8399点达成机率有多大?
那还须考量指数调整幅度.截至周五的调整还算健康.

依据不同强弱走势的短期支持与阻力评估:
阻力点在7858 ; 7957 ; 8056 .
支持点在7680 ; 7592 ; 7503 .
ATR10D=302
ATR10W=692
ATR走势预测
预计周一波动范围 8078-7474
预计下周波动范围 8468-7084
个人观点:4月很快就到来,也是很多敏感数据公布的月份. 对于保守的股友,已没理由再入场. 我继续保持DJI短期健康反弹走势的评级. 至于中长期走势,则继续处于下跌趋势.