The Market Knows a Lot More Than You Do.

把简单的事情变复杂，那是智力低下的表现。投资并不复杂，即使你只掌握一种有效的投资方法，那么其它一万种无效的方法都无法和其相提并论。把复杂的事情变简单，这需要一定的智慧。找到一种相对简单的投资方法并且从中获利，这应是所有致力于投资市场的投资者共同的愿望，也是我一直研究的投资课题之一。Polish your skills,and the money will follow. 趋势投资法是「寧买当头起、莫买当头跌」，「不估顶、不抄底」，不感情用事，做一个冷静投资者。何时做到buy low sell high？不要buy low and sell high！因為你不知How low is low, how high is high！所谓站在高处未算高、一山还有一山高。站在低处未算低、到了海边仍有「深深深」（deep, deep, deep）。应该寧买当头起、莫买当头跌。

Investing is an art and highly emotional and subjective.

When buying stocks, if your buying decisions are based on"insiders' information or rumours" and not sound analysis, then you are gambling. Many investors enter the market when stocks prices are high (lacking of confidence to enter beforehand when prices were low). Once the stocks market crash, they tend to sell out their shares out of fear and pessimism, swearing to "chop off their fingers" and never enter the stocks market again. If such situation happens, all their previous gains may be wiped out and suffered a loss.

Investing is an art and highly emotional and subjective. Subjectivity is largely controlled by our emotions. There are times when we are optimistic or pessimistic. If we are unable to control our emotional weakness, we are unlikely to become successful investors.

To be successful, you must first understand yourself, in particular your emotions and the degree of pressure you can tolerate.

The investors should also analyse the country's economic prospects together with the earnings outlook of the major listed companies.

It is imperative that you like Mathematics as the sound mathematical knowledge plays a key role in investment.

财富為了实现梦想;而非梦想拥有财富 .
美元对亚洲货币走势图

Saturday, April 18, 2009

新加坡海峡指数(STI)简析

新加坡海峡指数本周的表现还算不错,全周续涨68点.
1960点为中期走势的主要阻力点,由下跌波段来计算,目前反弹波幅已有38.2%左右.也和前期(1月份)的遇阻点相近.
相信技术调整是必要的.

中期阻力与支持点
支持点= 1759 ; 1701 ; 1643
阻力点= 2030 ; 2165 ; 2333

以中线为基础,只要调整能守1700点之上可视为健康调整.
如失守1643点,指数将有机会试探1455点支持.

ATR10D=51
ATR10W=123

ATR走势预测
预计周一波动范围1947-1845
预计下周波动范围2019-1773

个人观点:
目前中期正处于上升阶段.
至于长期走势则继续保持下跌趋势.
这点在我附上的周线图可察觉.
STI这几周已进入超卖,有必要做健康的调整(虽调整迟迟未显现).股友忌再追高,相信更好的入场价位随之而来.