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Investing is an art and highly emotional and subjective.

When buying stocks, if your buying decisions are based on"insiders' information or rumours" and not sound analysis, then you are gambling. Many investors enter the market when stocks prices are high (lacking of confidence to enter beforehand when prices were low). Once the stocks market crash, they tend to sell out their shares out of fear and pessimism, swearing to "chop off their fingers" and never enter the stocks market again. If such situation happens, all their previous gains may be wiped out and suffered a loss.

Investing is an art and highly emotional and subjective. Subjectivity is largely controlled by our emotions. There are times when we are optimistic or pessimistic. If we are unable to control our emotional weakness, we are unlikely to become successful investors.

To be successful, you must first understand yourself, in particular your emotions and the degree of pressure you can tolerate.

The investors should also analyse the country's economic prospects together with the earnings outlook of the major listed companies.

It is imperative that you like Mathematics as the sound mathematical knowledge plays a key role in investment.


财富為了实现梦想;而非梦想拥有财富 .
美元对亚洲货币走势图


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Thursday, June 18, 2009

王冠一:贼过兴兵 改革金融

美国总统奥巴马今天将会公布重组金融市场监管架构方案的细节,改革主要围绕三大环节,主要是金融机构监管、市场监管及评级机构监管等。


奥巴马政府经济团队成员的财长盖特纳和国家经济委员会主席萨密斯认為,挑起环球经济及金融危机的源头有四,包括环球储蓄及消费失衡、过度使用难以理解的金融產品、金融机构槓桿过大,以及金融监管及条例失效等。

针对上述弊病,奥巴马政府提出了数点银行改革方案,考虑内容有:赋予联储局权力,更严格地监管「一级控股金融机构」(Tier 1 financial holding companies),避免金融体系出现系统性风险,这些大型金融机构将会面临更高的资本要求;创立一个由财政部领导的金融服务监管委员会,协助填补监管方面的空白,促进政策协调,并识别新风险;由联邦存款保险公司(FDIC)负责处理经营不善的大机构,确保清盘时纳税人可得到适当保障;设立消费產品安全委员会,负责批核金融產品。

新监管制度会把大部份原本不受约束的证券化產品纳入监管范围,发行人会被要求保留至少5%「不对冲」股权,确保他们把资產证券化时,会充份考虑风险。另外,把按揭组合、信用卡贷款组合及其他產品綑绑后证券化的发行人须加强汇报,增加透明度,因為挑起今次金融危机的部份原因,是这些机构降低放款标準,以加快產品证券化的步伐。

至於评级机构亦会被加诸限制,避免出现利益衝突。假如它们受僱於机构為其產品进行评级,便会受约束,例如把结构性產品与非结构性债务產品分开处理。重组方案并没採纳把证监会与商品期货交易所合併的建议,只建议废除储蓄管理局,并成立金融產品安全委员会,负责审批產品是否适宜一般投资者。

市场早已认為监管机构架牀迭屋,给予金融机构钻空子,选择由监管手法最宽鬆的机构来管自己的机会。奥巴马政府千方百计重整金融体系,但「你有张良计,我有过墙梯」,这些金融机构大部份皆属老狐狸,要收服他们又谈何容易。早前的压力测试同样是雷声大雨点小,最终不但要放宽会计準则,容许「以市价入帐」,更接受银行讨价还价,以减少测试结果所带来的衝击,避免打击市场信心,影响复苏步伐。

由此可见,美国银行业积习难改,政府又投鼠忌器,要进行大手术,又谈何容易!


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