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Investing is an art and highly emotional and subjective.

When buying stocks, if your buying decisions are based on"insiders' information or rumours" and not sound analysis, then you are gambling. Many investors enter the market when stocks prices are high (lacking of confidence to enter beforehand when prices were low). Once the stocks market crash, they tend to sell out their shares out of fear and pessimism, swearing to "chop off their fingers" and never enter the stocks market again. If such situation happens, all their previous gains may be wiped out and suffered a loss.

Investing is an art and highly emotional and subjective. Subjectivity is largely controlled by our emotions. There are times when we are optimistic or pessimistic. If we are unable to control our emotional weakness, we are unlikely to become successful investors.

To be successful, you must first understand yourself, in particular your emotions and the degree of pressure you can tolerate.

The investors should also analyse the country's economic prospects together with the earnings outlook of the major listed companies.

It is imperative that you like Mathematics as the sound mathematical knowledge plays a key role in investment.


财富為了实现梦想;而非梦想拥有财富 .
美元对亚洲货币走势图


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Wednesday, November 4, 2009

美联储暂无意紧缩

美国股市周三收盘走高,在美国联邦储备委员会(Federal Reserve, 简称Fed)公布利率决定后,摩根大通(JPMorgan)、Hartford Financial等金融股遭遇抛售,但默克公司(Merck)引领医疗保健类股上扬,进而帮助股市小幅收高。

道琼斯工业股票平均价格指数收盘涨30.23点,至9802.14点,涨幅0.31%,为三个交易日来第二次上涨。

其他指数延续了近来的趋势,表现仍弱于道琼斯指数。其中标准普尔500指数收盘仅上涨1.09点,至1046.50点,涨幅0.1%。

纳斯达克综合指数跌1.80点,至2055.52点,跌幅0.09%,扭转了过去两个交易日的涨势。

市场走势依然振荡,在最后一个半小时交易时段内,道琼斯指数一度从上涨150点回落至与前交易日收盘点位持平;市场关注焦点和交投活动主要围绕Fed政策会议事件展开。尾盘时,Fed宣布维持利率不变,这符合交易员预期。Fed政策声明的措辞较9月末的声明没有明显变化,只是决定将机构债购买规模从2,000亿美元下调至1,750亿美元。

Fed的利率决定最初提振了市场人气,但至尾盘时这种积极人气逐渐消退。金融类股整体走弱,小型股也下挫。这两类股近来走势受挫,因投资者减持风险较高的头寸,而Fed的利率决定在未来数周可能难以改变市场的这一趋势。

美联储在随后的声明中称,经济活动继续扩张,金融市场大致持稳,房屋市场活动开始反弹,家庭支出似乎正在扩张,但仍受到失业人数增加,收入增长缓慢,房价下跌以及信贷紧张的限制。美联储继续认为,较低的资源利用率,温和的通胀势以及稳定的通胀预期很可能会促使利率在更长时间内维持在极低水平。为支持房屋市场以及改善私人信贷市场的状况,美联储将购买1.25万亿美元的机构抵押支持证券以及1750亿美元的机构债务,随后将逐步减少购买额度,预期这些交易将在2010年第一季度末结束。美联储有关利率将在“更长时间内”维持低位的声明表明其还没有准备好像澳储行那样采取紧缩行动,联储声明后利率期货显示美联储明年4月加息的几率由56%降至了50%。美元在声明后全面下跌,大多数主要货币兑美元均突破了近期区间。但突破技术区间并不意味着非美升势将一马平川,日内英、欧央行将公布利率决议,美国明天将公布非农数据,预期非美升势将接受进一步考验。

美国时段公布的重要数据:美国10月挑战者裁员人数5.57万,前值6.64万;10月ADP就业人数下降20.3万,预期为下降20万;10月ISM非制造业指数自50.9降至50.6,预期为51.5

亚洲时段重要数据以及事件:新西兰第三季度失业率升至6.5%,预期为6.4%,失业人数变化季率下降0.8%,年率下降1.8%,也低于预期

其它事件:美联储隔夜维持利率在0-0.25%不变,金价隔夜在1098美元再创历史新高,油价升至80美元以上

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