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Investing is an art and highly emotional and subjective.

When buying stocks, if your buying decisions are based on"insiders' information or rumours" and not sound analysis, then you are gambling. Many investors enter the market when stocks prices are high (lacking of confidence to enter beforehand when prices were low). Once the stocks market crash, they tend to sell out their shares out of fear and pessimism, swearing to "chop off their fingers" and never enter the stocks market again. If such situation happens, all their previous gains may be wiped out and suffered a loss.

Investing is an art and highly emotional and subjective. Subjectivity is largely controlled by our emotions. There are times when we are optimistic or pessimistic. If we are unable to control our emotional weakness, we are unlikely to become successful investors.

To be successful, you must first understand yourself, in particular your emotions and the degree of pressure you can tolerate.

The investors should also analyse the country's economic prospects together with the earnings outlook of the major listed companies.

It is imperative that you like Mathematics as the sound mathematical knowledge plays a key role in investment.

财富為了实现梦想;而非梦想拥有财富 .
美元对亚洲货币走势图


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Friday, November 27, 2009

香港恒升指数(HSI)简析



港股受杜拜世界事件影响，再加上内地银行股巨额集资的阴霾不散，令港股跌幅一度扩大至1208点，为金融风暴以来最大单日跌幅，报12002.49，指数已击穿13周均线(21417)，最后恒指仍能险守21000点，收报21134.5，跌1075.91或4.84%，为10月6日以来收低位。全周计恒指下跌6.66%。全周点数波动范围是1811点是2008年11月以来最大单周波动幅度.

<13周均线(白)是趋势护航线>,是用来判断中期趋势转变主要参考之一.
在MACD-HISTOGRAM方面,在7月尾已开始慢慢显露疲弱和一涨再涨的指数是完全背离的.
这点和马来西亚综合指数以及新加坡海峡指数都很类似.
长期走势方面,目前继续维持恒指看涨格局直到走势有更进一步的变动.

香港恒指本周跌幅巨大,预计下周会有一定的技术反弹.
短线的阻力在21804,22051和22298.
股友可以利用指数的反弹动力来判断走势的可续性.
支持点方面,在中期看来支持在20325,18609和17222.

预计12月香港恒指波动范围在19039-24467.
下周波动范围则在22210-20059.
20000点则是心理支持水平,如被击破对中期的走势较为不利.

目前的局势,我只能借用曹SIR金句"宁买当头起，莫买当头跌".
香港恒指是从本年的最高点回跌,金融风暴以来最大单日跌幅.
也是2008年11月以来最大单周波动幅度.
再加上下周还有很多敏感数据公布.
如恒指出现反弹也是乘机减仓的时机,而不是买入.


◎ 曹仁超投资金句
-股市绝不仁慈，甚至接近残酷，要从中赚钱绝对困难，蚀本却十分容易，故此最高境界乃顺势而行，坚持不抄底，不估顶。
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