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Investing is an art and highly emotional and subjective.

When buying stocks, if your buying decisions are based on"insiders' information or rumours" and not sound analysis, then you are gambling. Many investors enter the market when stocks prices are high (lacking of confidence to enter beforehand when prices were low). Once the stocks market crash, they tend to sell out their shares out of fear and pessimism, swearing to "chop off their fingers" and never enter the stocks market again. If such situation happens, all their previous gains may be wiped out and suffered a loss.

Investing is an art and highly emotional and subjective. Subjectivity is largely controlled by our emotions. There are times when we are optimistic or pessimistic. If we are unable to control our emotional weakness, we are unlikely to become successful investors.

To be successful, you must first understand yourself, in particular your emotions and the degree of pressure you can tolerate.

The investors should also analyse the country's economic prospects together with the earnings outlook of the major listed companies.

It is imperative that you like Mathematics as the sound mathematical knowledge plays a key role in investment.

财富為了实现梦想;而非梦想拥有财富 .
美元对亚洲货币走势图


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Sunday, July 13, 2008

道琼斯指数(DJI)[周线简析]



美国股市在周五,再报利空消息.
导致道琼斯指数(DJI)再往下滑落,全周下跌188点(-1.7%).
5月至今的走势相当疲弱.目前距离2006年7月的一个图型底部(10683)就在眉梢,417点的跌幅两三天内要达到,并不难.
投资者的情绪一再接受考验.市场已严重出现超卖现象.
如还计划在目前低位做空,交易局限在短线.基于处于超卖不排除指数和过去2周一样周内有反弹动作(入场节奏要捉得准).
我建议股友目前尽量保持空仓,等待指数反弹,然后在阻力区域做空.而不是做猜底交易.10683点不是绝对稳建的支持,如果市场极度恐慌10156和10000兼会被试探.

至于黄金分割率的分析,可参阅我2周前的分析.基本观点没变.
而短期阻力则往下调至11785点.
http://gibsonong.blogspot.com/2008/06/dji_29.html


香港横生指数(HSI)[周线简析]
香港横生指数(HSI)方面,短期结构类似DJI,很接近图型底部.
20572是支持区.强阻力区是24000点.
上周指数出现技术反弹回涨了760点(+3.54%)
短期来看,要突破22885点还是有一定的难度.

一些股市评论都认为在中国奥运来临之际,中国和香港股市不会在这之前崩盘.如是这样,在安全期内一些长期投资者(2-5年前就已持票至今者),可考虑减持手中股票,而不是再继续买入.
短期交易者,则是跟着市场节奏做短期做多或做空的交易.
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