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Investing is an art and highly emotional and subjective.

When buying stocks, if your buying decisions are based on"insiders' information or rumours" and not sound analysis, then you are gambling. Many investors enter the market when stocks prices are high (lacking of confidence to enter beforehand when prices were low). Once the stocks market crash, they tend to sell out their shares out of fear and pessimism, swearing to "chop off their fingers" and never enter the stocks market again. If such situation happens, all their previous gains may be wiped out and suffered a loss.

Investing is an art and highly emotional and subjective. Subjectivity is largely controlled by our emotions. There are times when we are optimistic or pessimistic. If we are unable to control our emotional weakness, we are unlikely to become successful investors.

To be successful, you must first understand yourself, in particular your emotions and the degree of pressure you can tolerate.

The investors should also analyse the country's economic prospects together with the earnings outlook of the major listed companies.

It is imperative that you like Mathematics as the sound mathematical knowledge plays a key role in investment.


财富為了实现梦想;而非梦想拥有财富 .
美元对亚洲货币走势图


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Monday, January 5, 2009

KepCorp 和 Kepland


KepCorp今日表现很强涨幅超过"10ATR"2倍之多.
如是牛市,我肯定会建议明日继续加单追击.
时逢"熊"市,保守些不建议追高策略.股价下道阻力在5.46.

如以小波段(3.73-4.59)调整概率来评估,

目标价分别是4.66<5.00<5.52.

今日的高点5.05,基本上已经满足了第2个目标点(5.00).

短期支持和阻力参考

强支持=4.48              强阻力=6.52

弱支持=4.70             弱阻力=5.46

真实波动幅度均值(ATR10d)=0.23

Kepland今日表现虽不如KepCorp,但涨幅也有"10ATR"1.5倍.

同样利用小波段(1.43-1.84)调整概率来评估,

目标价分别是1.80<1.96<2.21.

短期支持和阻力参考

强支持=1.55             强阻力=2.44

弱支持=1.84             弱阻力=2.00

真实波动幅度均值(ATR10d)=0.10

总结:

对于短期交易来说,今日基本上已经达到很合理套利位置.
如继续看好,也该选择先在当前价位套利60%.留守40%试探下个目标点.
还没买入的股友,建议等待股价到达支持位置才考虑买入,不易追高.

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