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Investing is an art and highly emotional and subjective.

When buying stocks, if your buying decisions are based on"insiders' information or rumours" and not sound analysis, then you are gambling. Many investors enter the market when stocks prices are high (lacking of confidence to enter beforehand when prices were low). Once the stocks market crash, they tend to sell out their shares out of fear and pessimism, swearing to "chop off their fingers" and never enter the stocks market again. If such situation happens, all their previous gains may be wiped out and suffered a loss.

Investing is an art and highly emotional and subjective. Subjectivity is largely controlled by our emotions. There are times when we are optimistic or pessimistic. If we are unable to control our emotional weakness, we are unlikely to become successful investors.

To be successful, you must first understand yourself, in particular your emotions and the degree of pressure you can tolerate.

The investors should also analyse the country's economic prospects together with the earnings outlook of the major listed companies.

It is imperative that you like Mathematics as the sound mathematical knowledge plays a key role in investment.


财富為了实现梦想;而非梦想拥有财富 .
美元对亚洲货币走势图


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Tuesday, August 5, 2008

美联储8月5日议息会议後发布的声明摘要

路透华盛顿8月5日电---以下为美国联邦储备理事会(FED,美联储)8月5日议息会议後发布的利率声明摘要:

美国联邦公开市场委员会(FOMC)决议维持联邦基金利率目标于2.00%不变.

经济活动在第二季扩张,部分反映消费者支出和出口成长.但就业市场进一步软化,金融市场仍承受相当大的压力.信贷状况紧缩、楼市持续萎缩以及能源价格高涨可能在未来数季令经济成长承压.大幅降息以及持续的提振市场流动性措施应随着时间帮助促进经济温和成长.

通膨居高不下,受之前能源和一些其他商品价格大涨刺激,且一些通膨预期指标也上升.委员会预计通膨在今年稍後和明年将缓和,但通膨前景仍很不确定.

尽管经济成长的下档风险犹存,但通膨的上升风险也是委员会的心头大患.

委员会将继续监控经济和金融市场发展,将在必要时作出反应,促进经济可持续成长及物价稳定.

此次对维持利率不变投赞成票的委员包括:主席贝南克、副主席盖特纳、Elizabeth A. Duke、科恩、克罗兹纳、米什金、皮亚纳尔托、史登、瓦尔许和普洛瑟.费希尔则倾向升息.(完)

《快速分析》美联储一如预期维持利率于2.0%不变

美国联邦储备理事会(FED,美联储)周二宣布维持利率于2.00%不变,试图在不进一步加剧通膨的情况下,将经济带上稳健成长之路.

联邦公开市场委员会(FOMC)在声明中表示,尽管经济成长的下档风险犹存,但通膨的上升风险也是委员会的心头大患.

以下为分析师评论摘要:

VANGUARD首席分析师JOE DAVIS:

"毫无意外.他们尽力在非常艰困的环境中操控.在这种环境下,最好就是什麽都别作...他们仍预计经济在明年会走强."

"短期内,很难预测升息.要等到情势显着改善.目前就业市场仍不明朗,其他影响因素还有信贷状况紧缩等."

"预计市场不会有负面反应"

MONEY MANAGEMENT FIRM INTEGRE ADVISORS创办人MANNY WEINTRAUB:

"我认为他们没有说什麽新内容.油价下滑给了他们维持利率,也不会以美元近期强势为代价的能力."

"我也认为欧洲经济趋疲给了他们按息不动的空间.若通膨缓和,就可以保持利率较低.维持利率较低有好处,因这帮助改善美国银行的账面状况."

BROKER-DEALER WJB CAPITAL GROUP衍生品投资策略董事SCOTT FULLMAN:

"利率决策宣布後,股市迅速大涨.获利了结缓和了上涨压力,令股指重回声明公布前水准.美联储基本上是担心通膨和经济放缓,明显感到目前不行动要比改变货币政策要好.并指出若有需要,准备对利率作出决策."

HIFX资深汇市分析师GARETH SYLVESTER:

"整体而言,我认为声明颇为平衡.大问题是FOMC如何平衡经济成长和通膨风险...他们指出预计通膨放缓,带动经济活动,这是理想的情况.他们将继续评估经济数据,并采取必要措施.这明显显示利率将暂时保持不变."

市场反应:
*美股在美联储公布利率决策後扩大涨幅,三大股指均上扬超过2%.
*美元缩减涨幅,因美联储维持利率不变.
*美联储公布利率决策後,美国短期利率期货显示9月升息的几率由34%降至28%.
*美国公债在美联储利率决策公布後下滑.(完)

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