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Investing is an art and highly emotional and subjective.

When buying stocks, if your buying decisions are based on"insiders' information or rumours" and not sound analysis, then you are gambling. Many investors enter the market when stocks prices are high (lacking of confidence to enter beforehand when prices were low). Once the stocks market crash, they tend to sell out their shares out of fear and pessimism, swearing to "chop off their fingers" and never enter the stocks market again. If such situation happens, all their previous gains may be wiped out and suffered a loss.

Investing is an art and highly emotional and subjective. Subjectivity is largely controlled by our emotions. There are times when we are optimistic or pessimistic. If we are unable to control our emotional weakness, we are unlikely to become successful investors.

To be successful, you must first understand yourself, in particular your emotions and the degree of pressure you can tolerate.

The investors should also analyse the country's economic prospects together with the earnings outlook of the major listed companies.

It is imperative that you like Mathematics as the sound mathematical knowledge plays a key role in investment.


财富為了实现梦想;而非梦想拥有财富 .
美元对亚洲货币走势图


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Sunday, August 3, 2008

NOBLE,YANLORD(回复tamp的提问)


Noble,中长期属于上升趋势.短期属于下跌式横盘格局.
同样的你没表明要做多还是空.(建议提问的股友表明交易的意愿)
如是做多,有2种交易方式.一个就是波动箱形交易,就是在1.98-2.25波动范围的底部入局,接近顶部出局,赚差价.第二种是主动性介入(介入点同样是在1.98-2.25波动范围的底部),等待预期盈利达到后出局;或是被动性交易方式,等待股价突破2.25箱体后再入局做多,跌破1.98则是做空.

短期支持和阻力参考
强支持=1.73 强阻力=2.70
弱支持=1.93 弱阻力=2.25
真实波动幅度均值(ATR10d)=0.093

Yanlord中长期属于下跌趋势.目前短期属于下跌格局(7日前属于上升格局).是一只适合做空的股票.
如股价能站稳1.90价位并反攻向上(须考量能量指标),那保守些做空点须往上调高(2.32-2.37区域).

短期支持和阻力参考
强支持=1.65 强阻力=2.80
弱支持=1.70 弱阻力=2.22
真实波动幅度均值(ATR10d)=0.103

我目前建议股友,耐心等待机会,不要为了盈利而交易,风险是首要考量细节.美国股市还未显露转势迹象,目前对于大市状况继续是看跌.如你是入市做多某些股票,须确认买价是箱体的底部区域.
突破交易(做多)未必适合(需考量中长期趋势).

我放的ATR10d,股友可以参考.用来设定止损,套利或评估某股价的不正常波动.也可以用来设定突发性止损价.
例如Noble闭市价2.20.ATR10d是0.093.
依据个人的风险承担能力,可以把0.093乘于1.5或2或更高参数.
如股价在盘中跌幅超过0.14(0.093*1.5),就可出局.

技术看版
真实波动幅度均值(ATR)
每一位系统交易者都应当熟悉ATR及其具有的许多有用功能。其众多应用包括:参数设置,入市,止损,获利等,甚至是资金管理中的一个非常有价值的辅助工具。
如何计算真实波动幅度均值(ATR)
波动幅度:单根K线图最高点和最低点间的距离。
真实波动幅度:是以下三个波动幅度的最大值
1. 当天最高点和最低点间的距离
2. 前一天收盘价和当天最高价间的距离,或
3. 前天收盘价和当天最低价间的距离
为了让ATR反映近期波动性,可以使用短期ATR(2-10根K线图);为了让ATR反映“长期”波动性,可以使用20至50根K线或更多。

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