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Investing is an art and highly emotional and subjective.

When buying stocks, if your buying decisions are based on"insiders' information or rumours" and not sound analysis, then you are gambling. Many investors enter the market when stocks prices are high (lacking of confidence to enter beforehand when prices were low). Once the stocks market crash, they tend to sell out their shares out of fear and pessimism, swearing to "chop off their fingers" and never enter the stocks market again. If such situation happens, all their previous gains may be wiped out and suffered a loss.

Investing is an art and highly emotional and subjective. Subjectivity is largely controlled by our emotions. There are times when we are optimistic or pessimistic. If we are unable to control our emotional weakness, we are unlikely to become successful investors.

To be successful, you must first understand yourself, in particular your emotions and the degree of pressure you can tolerate.

The investors should also analyse the country's economic prospects together with the earnings outlook of the major listed companies.

It is imperative that you like Mathematics as the sound mathematical knowledge plays a key role in investment.


财富為了实现梦想;而非梦想拥有财富 .
美元对亚洲货币走势图


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Tuesday, August 19, 2008

金融投资心理剖析③:上瘾着迷

对一个着迷于金融市场的人来说,最大的不幸就是一开始应用自己的方法赚了钱。这样,他就会更加着迷。老维也纳人曾说:一个人失去了他最后的1000美元后,也失去了他的理智。对股市来说,就是炒股者第一次赚了1000美元,却失去了理智。

  20世纪20年代著名的法国汽车大亨Citroen因偶然的机会进行纸牌赌博,并且在第一个晚上赢了钱,随后上了瘾,每周周末都去赌,越赌越输、越输越赌。他的银行账号上的负数越来越大,直到有一天他的汽车厂的资金被冻结而失去了他辛苦创建经营并取得辉煌成就的工厂。

  如果交易者有一种感觉,自己操作得太多、太频繁,或者分分秒秒都离不开市场,或者效果太差,那就可以考虑停下来休息一个月,或者外出旅游,以便就前面的交易进行思考。假如连一个月也坚持不下来,那就说明上瘾了。

  在西方,人们称炒股为股市游戏。在股市里笼罩着一种特殊的气氛,那里充满了喧哗嘈杂的搏斗场所的空气,容易使一些人上瘾。在特殊情况下,有些人可以与醉酒者相比较:当他经过一次严重的醉酒后,第二天痛下决心,永远不再让酒杯沾手。但是到了下午,他还是忍不住喝了一杯鸡尾酒,然后又一杯,再来一杯,到了午夜时他又醉得像前一天晚上一样。

  建立在感觉基础上的交易是致命的交易。可以举一个很好的例子来说明:在赛马场上,您注意观察那里的观众而不要管马。看赛马的人跺脚、拍手,一会儿跳起来,一会儿高声大喊加吹口哨。成千上万的观众在这里尽情享受,他们的情绪随他们所赌的马匹快慢而变化。赌赢者欢呼拥抱,赌输者气愤地撕掉了赌票。高兴、痛苦,梦想的强度就是金融市场的写照。一个想在赛马场上赚钱的人必须是冷静的,不激动的,他不大喊大叫,不把自己所有的钱放在一次性的比赛上。

  开赌场的人最喜欢上了瘾的人,他们为赌博者提供含有酒精的饮料,因为醉得昏昏怏怏的人凭感觉来下赌,并且会越输越赌得厉害。赌场老板最不喜欢的是理智的赌者,时刻想把他们赶出去。在金融市场上,没有人提供免费的啤酒,如果您是一个好的成功的交易者,也没有人要把您赶出市场。想在金融市场上混饭吃的人,必须运用自己的智慧,而不是凭感觉。

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