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Investing is an art and highly emotional and subjective.

When buying stocks, if your buying decisions are based on"insiders' information or rumours" and not sound analysis, then you are gambling. Many investors enter the market when stocks prices are high (lacking of confidence to enter beforehand when prices were low). Once the stocks market crash, they tend to sell out their shares out of fear and pessimism, swearing to "chop off their fingers" and never enter the stocks market again. If such situation happens, all their previous gains may be wiped out and suffered a loss.

Investing is an art and highly emotional and subjective. Subjectivity is largely controlled by our emotions. There are times when we are optimistic or pessimistic. If we are unable to control our emotional weakness, we are unlikely to become successful investors.

To be successful, you must first understand yourself, in particular your emotions and the degree of pressure you can tolerate.

The investors should also analyse the country's economic prospects together with the earnings outlook of the major listed companies.

It is imperative that you like Mathematics as the sound mathematical knowledge plays a key role in investment.


财富為了实现梦想;而非梦想拥有财富 .
美元对亚洲货币走势图


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Saturday, October 24, 2009

各国指数简析

很快的还有5个交易日就结束了10月份的交易期.11月的展望和回顾的分析我会留到下周再发帖.
本周之做只做简单的波动走势预测.
在下方的预测数值里,我加入了"波动比例值"的数据供股友参考,数值1就完全符合预测(需等待本月最后交易日才是真正结果).
波动比例值,基本是用来判段指数在本月的走势是否过高或过低.
波动比例值可以是年,月,周,日,时和分.
我放的是月波动比例值,每个月15日之后,才会参考这个数据.以2009年评估,月波动比例值多在0.75-1.25区间.各国的指数在本月份对比下,新加坡股市最为沉闷.

上海综合指数
目前月波动比例值=0.617
预测10月分波动空间
2311-3248
预测本周波动空间
2936-3278

道琼工业指数
目前月波动比例值=0.74
预测10月分波动空间
8658-10766
预测本周波动空间
9592-10352

香港恒生指数
目前月波动比例值=0.83
预测10月分波动空间
18173-23738
预测本周波动空间
21566-23614

大马综合指数
目前月波动比例值=0.82
预测10月分波动空间
1119-1285
预测本周波动空间
1241-1293

新加坡海峡指数
目前月波动比例值=0.57
预测10月分波动空间
2387-2958
预测本周波动空间
2618-2812


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