Google

Investing is an art and highly emotional and subjective.

When buying stocks, if your buying decisions are based on"insiders' information or rumours" and not sound analysis, then you are gambling. Many investors enter the market when stocks prices are high (lacking of confidence to enter beforehand when prices were low). Once the stocks market crash, they tend to sell out their shares out of fear and pessimism, swearing to "chop off their fingers" and never enter the stocks market again. If such situation happens, all their previous gains may be wiped out and suffered a loss.

Investing is an art and highly emotional and subjective. Subjectivity is largely controlled by our emotions. There are times when we are optimistic or pessimistic. If we are unable to control our emotional weakness, we are unlikely to become successful investors.

To be successful, you must first understand yourself, in particular your emotions and the degree of pressure you can tolerate.

The investors should also analyse the country's economic prospects together with the earnings outlook of the major listed companies.

It is imperative that you like Mathematics as the sound mathematical knowledge plays a key role in investment.


财富為了实现梦想;而非梦想拥有财富 .
美元对亚洲货币走势图


Live Economic Calendar Powered by the Forex Trading Portal Forexpros.com

Tuesday, May 18, 2010

王 冠 一:一面放火 一面扑火

希腊的主权债务问题餘波未了。為了避免风波蔓延,欧盟伙同国基会於上周日推出规模达7500亿的稳定欧洲机制,欧洲央行不惜出尔反尔,推翻不会购买成员债券的承诺,而联储局同时亦再度重啟与5家央行进行货币掉期的机制,无限量提供所需美元。事后传闻多多,有指德国要求让德国央行行长韦伯於明年接替特里谢出任欧洲央行行长,作為同意稳洲稳定机制的交换条件,亦有传法国总统萨尔科齐拍枱并以退出欧元区要胁,德国才肯就范通过机制。有关传闻是真是假无法确定,属於得啖笑,。

救市方案推出,对市场的安抚作用仅曇花一现。欧元反弹1天后重陷跌轨,本周一更曾跌至1.2234美元的4年新低;欧猪五国的信贷违约掉期 (CDS)曾经回落,但周一又见上升─希腊由上周五收市的600点升至625点、葡萄牙由242点升上255点、西班牙亦由179点升上255点;而银行同业拆息亦见升势停不了,3个月LIBOR高见0.46%,乃去年8月7日以来的新高,较2月低点的0.252%升幅达八成。虽然美国无限量供应所需美元,拆息仍居高不下,反映雷曼后曾经肆虐的银行担忧交易对手风险事件,又再重现。

欧盟各国财长召开会议讨论欧洲债务危机。欧洲央行透露,已於上周吸纳了165亿欧元区国债,据悉所买的全是希腊、爱尔兰、葡萄牙、西班牙和意大利等欧猪五国的债券。市场本担忧欧洲央行买债会增加货币供应量,从而在日后引发通胀,但欧洲央行表示,消毒过程已準备就绪,将以高达1%高息利诱银行存放1周定期,以便在市场吸走与购债数额相约的资金。此种一面放火一面扑火的招数能否奏效,令人怀疑,不过市场相信,要向市场发出强烈讯息,165亿欧元微不足道,最少亦要购买700亿欧元国债,才会有较理想效果。

对於欧元近期的弱势,欧元集团主席容克表示不感忧虑,担忧的反而是欧元下跌速度会否过急。他强调,欧元仍是可靠的货币,欧元成立以来的11年,区内价格维持稳定,他深信欧洲央行仍会确保通胀受控,而今次危机唤起了各国对经济管治(economic govermance)的重视,可说是塞翁失马,焉知非福。

市场现时最关注的,是接受经援国家被要求加大削赤力度即使可行,亦会拖慢增长步伐,令经济长时间陷於低迷,而大规模救市行动加上欧洲央行於二手市场回购国债,亦会令货币供应量骤增,最终或会挑起通胀,反之,救市力度若不足,则只能推迟希腊违约的时间表,亦难以防止欧债风波蔓延至西班牙及葡萄牙等其他南欧国家。

市场反应已清楚告诉我们,要解决欧债问题难以一蹴即就,市场看淡欧元的情绪高涨,欧元短期仍是易跌难升,反弹空间极其有限。

No comments:

Post a Comment