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Investing is an art and highly emotional and subjective.

When buying stocks, if your buying decisions are based on"insiders' information or rumours" and not sound analysis, then you are gambling. Many investors enter the market when stocks prices are high (lacking of confidence to enter beforehand when prices were low). Once the stocks market crash, they tend to sell out their shares out of fear and pessimism, swearing to "chop off their fingers" and never enter the stocks market again. If such situation happens, all their previous gains may be wiped out and suffered a loss.

Investing is an art and highly emotional and subjective. Subjectivity is largely controlled by our emotions. There are times when we are optimistic or pessimistic. If we are unable to control our emotional weakness, we are unlikely to become successful investors.

To be successful, you must first understand yourself, in particular your emotions and the degree of pressure you can tolerate.

The investors should also analyse the country's economic prospects together with the earnings outlook of the major listed companies.

It is imperative that you like Mathematics as the sound mathematical knowledge plays a key role in investment.

财富為了实现梦想;而非梦想拥有财富 .
美元对亚洲货币走势图


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Thursday, May 6, 2010

[沿图观市]香港恒生指数(HSI)

香港恒生指数本周的跌势非常大,4个交易日已失去975点.
依据10周ATR预计波动范围在820点左右,但这4个交易日波动幅度已达1123点.
对比值是1.37.如比例值达1.5甚至是2,就视为极度恐慌.

回观日线图,依据波浪(19423-22389)幅度,利用黄金分割率做测量.
这次的跌幅相当大,相信要再攻顶还需要很长时间.
预计调整周期最长会消耗7周左右.
当前还有1到3周左右的崎岖探底走势.
依据日线图第一波调整波段估计,3个调整目标21057,20635和19951.全部已经达标.
再配合前个图形底部19875的支持力,恒指才得到比较有利的支持.
恒指在这个低位出现反弹,完全在预测范围之内.

股友可以开始观察反弹幅度,截至目前走势短期阻力在
20600,20840和21400(如指数再创新低,阻力点就会从新计算)

目前表面看来,指数调整已经到位.
就看反弹之后的回抽幅度再做评估.
如指数再创新低跌破19423点,短中期走势极为不妙!
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