The Market Knows a Lot More Than You Do.: [沿图观市]美国道琼逝公商指数和新加坡海峡指数

Investing is an art and highly emotional and subjective.

When buying stocks, if your buying decisions are based on"insiders' information or rumours" and not sound analysis, then you are gambling. Many investors enter the market when stocks prices are high (lacking of confidence to enter beforehand when prices were low). Once the stocks market crash, they tend to sell out their shares out of fear and pessimism, swearing to "chop off their fingers" and never enter the stocks market again. If such situation happens, all their previous gains may be wiped out and suffered a loss.

Investing is an art and highly emotional and subjective. Subjectivity is largely controlled by our emotions. There are times when we are optimistic or pessimistic. If we are unable to control our emotional weakness, we are unlikely to become successful investors.

To be successful, you must first understand yourself, in particular your emotions and the degree of pressure you can tolerate.

The investors should also analyse the country's economic prospects together with the earnings outlook of the major listed companies.

It is imperative that you like Mathematics as the sound mathematical knowledge plays a key role in investment.

财富為了实现梦想;而非梦想拥有财富 .
美元对亚洲货币走势图

Sunday, August 29, 2010

[沿图观市]美国道琼逝公商指数和新加坡海峡指数

周五,道指在BERNANKE释出利好言论下,带动道指一扫多日的跌势.
周五以10150.65挂收,全周小跌63点.
接下来这周,道指短线走势偏向乐观,中长线则保持看跌势.
依据图形观察,道指在10480位置会面对较大阻力.
道指是直接突破还是在这点位面临阻力?
股友就要多加留意.
如针对10720-9936点下跌波段做估算基础,
道指接下来会在10236,10328,10420点面对阻力.
如道指在短期内无法突破10328阻力位置,
可视为弱势反弹,道指还有机会继续探底.
反观如成功突破10328点,视为较强的反弹势.
在适度调整后,后市可期.

支持点方面,道指不易跌破9936支持位.
重要支持点在9936,9795,9614.
周波动范围在10545-9756.
9月波动范围在10994-9307.

回看左右市场资金流向的(参考指标)美元指数,
已逐步回弱,但还没跌破81.91前不能完全看淡美元.
美元短线走弱,对亚洲股市短线走势小有帮助(日本除外).
预计接下来这周亚洲股市会在BERNANKE利好言论和疑虑解除下上涨.
股友须多加留意的是在9月7日后的道指和美元指数的走势.
主要是这段时期,还会有一系列的长债拍卖,资金是继续流向避险的债券还是投入股市?
从道指和美元指数的走势就可看出市场真正的走向.
如道指在这周期是处于上涨势头,这已说明市场的忧虑情绪已转好.
反之市场情绪依然不明朗.

新加坡海峡指数方面,全周以2938.74挂收,只微涨2.26点.
海指盘整多时,是时候做出反弹动作.
阻力点在2960,2976,2992点.
如指数无法突破2976点视为弱势反弹,海指有机会继续探底.
依据波浪推演,目前海指处于4浪调整浪.
只要海指不跌破2890点,继续保持上述推论.
海指支持点在2893,2847,2800.

海指周波动范围在3010-2868.
9月波动范围在3162-2715.

至于大马综和指数,接下来这周只有4个交易日.
预计走势偏于向上,跌幅有限.
在巫族新年来临前,综指会有一波套利调整的走势.
算一算剩下的交易日已不多,有利就快出.
至于8月期货指数系统依然建议保持持有,
但8月期货合约已到期,依然须进行平仓.
说来讽刺,如有留意我在7月的综指分析,
我极为不看好8月指数的走势.
当是系统也还未显现买入讯号.
依据个人的交易习惯也不会入市交易,
当系统在8月中显现买入讯号时,我还是相信系统讯号做了多单.
截至目前也有50多点的盈利.
系统是跟着篇写好的程序运作,人脑则已被大量的资讯资料影响了判断.
股友是要做个"程序交易人"还是依据个人经验判断的交易者?