Google

Investing is an art and highly emotional and subjective.

When buying stocks, if your buying decisions are based on"insiders' information or rumours" and not sound analysis, then you are gambling. Many investors enter the market when stocks prices are high (lacking of confidence to enter beforehand when prices were low). Once the stocks market crash, they tend to sell out their shares out of fear and pessimism, swearing to "chop off their fingers" and never enter the stocks market again. If such situation happens, all their previous gains may be wiped out and suffered a loss.

Investing is an art and highly emotional and subjective. Subjectivity is largely controlled by our emotions. There are times when we are optimistic or pessimistic. If we are unable to control our emotional weakness, we are unlikely to become successful investors.

To be successful, you must first understand yourself, in particular your emotions and the degree of pressure you can tolerate.

The investors should also analyse the country's economic prospects together with the earnings outlook of the major listed companies.

It is imperative that you like Mathematics as the sound mathematical knowledge plays a key role in investment.


财富為了实现梦想;而非梦想拥有财富 .
美元对亚洲货币走势图


Live Economic Calendar Powered by the Forex Trading Portal Forexpros.com

Saturday, January 9, 2010

道琼工业指数指数简析



2010年的第一个星期,美国步步为营的迎来第一周涨势.
周五闭市点10618.19,涨幅190点.
和区间波动预测吻合比率达72%水平.
依据目前走势,指数已经突破10600关口.
可以说已经摆脱将近一个月的横盘的区间波动范围.可惜突破力度偏弱,信心盘不稳.

之前在去年的分析预计DJI指数来到10500-10600幅度会有较大的修正.但调整并没如预期出现.此波涨幅有机会朝向11200目标迈进.基于中期论点,在指数调整不能跌破10235(12月底点).在短期指数如失守10430就要谨慎看待.


依据不同强弱走势的短期支持与阻力评估:
阻力点在10718 ; 11286 ; 11854 .
支持点在10397 ; 10260 ; 10149 .

ATR走势预测
预计本月波动范围 9619-11237
预计本周波动范围 10357-10879

回看目前美国的经济指数,好坏参半.
DJI指数在10300已经合理,目前指数向下个11200目标迈进只是可预期性的涨势.
截至目前经济数据,我对于2010年第一季DJI的走势目标就在11200范围内.
2010年是很难操作的一年,我也相信较大调整一定会来.股友在乐观中还是要保持谨慎.


香港恒生指数
目前月波动比例值=0.35
预测1月分波动空间
19439-24306
预测本周波动空间
21305-23289

大马综合指数
目前月波动比例值=0.39
预测1月分波动空间
1203-1342
预测本周波动空间
1272-1314

新加坡海峡指数
目前月波动比例值=0.24
预测1月分波动空间
2654-3141
预测本周波动空间
2850-2995

以新马股票来说,股友在目前阶段才买入高息股做长线投资,风险其实很高.对于在2009年1月-6月周期买入并持有高息股的股友,相对比较,风险承担能力就比较高.

在股市活跃那么多年,得出一些观点来警惕自己.
1.不要进行有压力的操作.
2.只用不影响生活的闲钱操作.
3.只操作自己能够分析和掌握的股票.
4.操作股票,不要心急!

或许有股友觉得,我说的是废话,但它真的是一直与我共在的操作纪律.
技术分析的技巧可以花时间学习,但实战经验还是需要时间累积.
面对市场的态度也一样需要学习和累积.
如果股友很认真对待这些细节,就不可停止对这些事务的学习.
目前这个资讯暴涨的年代,只有学习欲望强烈的人才有更上一层楼的先决条件.

◎曹Sir金句
先买后卖同先卖后买有乜分别?目标一样係赚钱,点解先买后卖係股神、先卖后买係衰人?

No comments:

Post a Comment