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Investing is an art and highly emotional and subjective.

When buying stocks, if your buying decisions are based on"insiders' information or rumours" and not sound analysis, then you are gambling. Many investors enter the market when stocks prices are high (lacking of confidence to enter beforehand when prices were low). Once the stocks market crash, they tend to sell out their shares out of fear and pessimism, swearing to "chop off their fingers" and never enter the stocks market again. If such situation happens, all their previous gains may be wiped out and suffered a loss.

Investing is an art and highly emotional and subjective. Subjectivity is largely controlled by our emotions. There are times when we are optimistic or pessimistic. If we are unable to control our emotional weakness, we are unlikely to become successful investors.

To be successful, you must first understand yourself, in particular your emotions and the degree of pressure you can tolerate.

The investors should also analyse the country's economic prospects together with the earnings outlook of the major listed companies.

It is imperative that you like Mathematics as the sound mathematical knowledge plays a key role in investment.

财富為了实现梦想;而非梦想拥有财富 .
美元对亚洲货币走势图


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Sunday, January 24, 2010

道琼工业指数(DJI)和海峡指数(STI)简析




受到美国总统奥巴马限制金融机构的立法影响，华尔街股市在周五继续回落。这是美股连续第3日下跌，也是去年3月以来最长的连跌浪。在技术层面,上周提到的周线图"十字星"预警,本周给了结果.累计全周共跌537点或4.1%，是去年3月升市以来最大的单周降幅.

这波调整市的周期预计会比较长和复杂.
当然DJI间中会有小反弹,但总体来看短中期会是下跌市.
回看周线图,DJI有连跌4周的记录.
我在此给股友的建议就是不要捞底.
但可以留意指数对支持点反应和比率.

短期阻力和支持点参考
支持=10105 ,9720 ,9408
阻力=10366 ,10717 ,11286

预计本周波动范围= 9749-10597
预计本月波动范围= 9581-11275

本周DJI 10000点心理支持水平,即将接受调整,当前走势看来失守机率很大.

随着美国的大跌.新加坡海峡指数整体走势也是疲弱,全周跌89点.
目前指数还守在13周EMA(2802)点之上.
回看日线图,海指在周五出现了下跌缺口,也跌破50日均线.
跌破50日均线,已给于股友警惕讯号.
在形态上海指短期涨势,也在周四已经确认结束.
相信股友相当关心海指的支持位,如以前一波跌势幅度基础做估算.2760-2780点是个不错支持区.

短期阻力和支持点参考
支持=2812 ,2780 ,2729
阻力=2847 ,2864 ,2880

预计本周波动范围= 2703-2937
预计本月波动范围= 2644-3151


香港恒生指数
预计本周波动范围= 19159-22293
预计本月波动范围= 19283-24462

大马综合指数
预计本周波动范围= 1320-1280
预计本月波动范围= 1203-1343

◎曹Sir金句
所谓向上天祷告，其实是加强自己的意志力，因为真正决定天堂与地狱者是自己。
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