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Investing is an art and highly emotional and subjective.

When buying stocks, if your buying decisions are based on"insiders' information or rumours" and not sound analysis, then you are gambling. Many investors enter the market when stocks prices are high (lacking of confidence to enter beforehand when prices were low). Once the stocks market crash, they tend to sell out their shares out of fear and pessimism, swearing to "chop off their fingers" and never enter the stocks market again. If such situation happens, all their previous gains may be wiped out and suffered a loss.

Investing is an art and highly emotional and subjective. Subjectivity is largely controlled by our emotions. There are times when we are optimistic or pessimistic. If we are unable to control our emotional weakness, we are unlikely to become successful investors.

To be successful, you must first understand yourself, in particular your emotions and the degree of pressure you can tolerate.

The investors should also analyse the country's economic prospects together with the earnings outlook of the major listed companies.

It is imperative that you like Mathematics as the sound mathematical knowledge plays a key role in investment.


财富為了实现梦想;而非梦想拥有财富 .
美元对亚洲货币走势图


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Wednesday, June 16, 2010

[沿图观市]美国道琼逝公商指数

道指在本周一,尝试突破10315失败后,
周二则以大阳烛形成突破之势.周二涨213点.
道指在2月至4月26日,波动幅度都很平稳,
但在4月26日指数见顶后,道指的波动就明示放大2到3倍.
如有参与美股交易的股友就会理解,指数是涨得慢跌得凶.
死守不放者,很早已被市场淘汰.

在估测支持与阻力点最好就是并用平均波动做参考.
截至目前,道指平均10日波动幅度在215点,
平均10周波动幅度是405点.
估计本周的波动范围在10616-9806.
本周可以参考的阻力位在10474,10507,10684
支持位在10254,10160,10082

周二的突破形态,暂时可以确认9757是底部.
由于这是反弹第一波,是真是假还难于确认.
走势分析会一步一步跟着做推演分析.
第一波反弹目标在10684点,指数会在途中面对多个阻力.
既然已突破10315阻力,如是强势道数需守这个位置.
否则也只是多头"陷井".

均线方面,3日均线已和21日均线交叉.
这是短期走好迹象.

总结来说,我个人对近期欧洲指数回涨,还有很大保留空间.
因为我完全不看好欧元有什么作为,未来的经济状况也一样疲弱.
美国指数方面,奥巴马政府一直都在出台扶市政策.
走势多半是不好不坏,继续会是横盘的波动走势.
单日幅度就在200多点,单周就400多点.

下方是回复股友的提问.



Indoagri如是短期操作,对于很早就已买入者,
可以考虑股价跌破2.19后先套利出局.
如是计划中长期持有,就要"忍"受一些调整,
只要股价不跌破2.04,暂时也无须出局.
中长线目标价在4.00.
形态上Indoagri已形成小5浪,2.30之前会出现调整走势.
对于有兴趣买入的股友,保守买入区在2.09-2.05.
预计下波短期盈利有18%左右,而承受风险就控制在8-10%.


Swiber 在图表观察短线走势已弱.
股价会有小调整,支持区在0.965-0.95.
只要不跌破0.95,短线股价还有反攻能力.
下个小波目标在1.09.
如是中长线持有,只要股价不跌破0.90,暂时也无须出局.
中长线目标价在1.90.
对于有兴趣买入的股友,保守买入区在0.965-0.95.
预计下波短期盈利有14%左右,而承受风险就控制在8%.

*中长线目标价只是黄金分割率的一个长线预测.
如股友计划中长期持有,请做好基本分析,再配合图表走势做策略投资.
短线或短期就无须太在意基本分析,只要该股有量有势就可参与交易.

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