The Market Knows a Lot More Than You Do.: [沿图观市]德国(DAX)和法国(CAC40)指数

Investing is an art and highly emotional and subjective.

When buying stocks, if your buying decisions are based on"insiders' information or rumours" and not sound analysis, then you are gambling. Many investors enter the market when stocks prices are high (lacking of confidence to enter beforehand when prices were low). Once the stocks market crash, they tend to sell out their shares out of fear and pessimism, swearing to "chop off their fingers" and never enter the stocks market again. If such situation happens, all their previous gains may be wiped out and suffered a loss.

Investing is an art and highly emotional and subjective. Subjectivity is largely controlled by our emotions. There are times when we are optimistic or pessimistic. If we are unable to control our emotional weakness, we are unlikely to become successful investors.

To be successful, you must first understand yourself, in particular your emotions and the degree of pressure you can tolerate.

The investors should also analyse the country's economic prospects together with the earnings outlook of the major listed companies.

It is imperative that you like Mathematics as the sound mathematical knowledge plays a key role in investment.

财富為了实现梦想;而非梦想拥有财富 .
美元对亚洲货币走势图

Monday, June 7, 2010

[沿图观市]德国(DAX)和法国(CAC40)指数

今日亚洲股市大跌,原因除了美国前周大跌外,主要因素还是来自欧洲的债务危机.
希腊还没完,又来个汹牙俐,劣势逐步扩散中.
截稿前欧洲指数跌势持续,结果还有待后续发展.

我附上的是浓缩版日线技术图,完全精简化.
观察目标是扮演救市主的德国(DAX)和法国(CAC40)指数.

德国DAX指数,在形态观察仍属于c浪位置.
前5浪结构用了60周完成;
a,b,c调整浪最快也要花23周左右.
当前只在第5周,还有4个月左右调整期.
这里只简单的利用黄金分割率和图表形态结合观察.
对比下,发现c浪预测位置5177点和前上升浪的1浪顶位很接近.
如与调整期时限吻合,对激进股友来说,这很有很大机会就是底部位置.

法国(CAC40)指数,在形态上和DAX差不多都处于C浪位置.
前5浪结构用了57周完成;
a,b,c调整浪最快也要花22周左右.
当前只在第7周,还有15周左右调整期.
对比下,发现c浪预测位置2900点和前上升浪的2浪底位(2957)也很接近.
2957-2900点都成了可以留意的c浪位置.

上面两个指数分析预测,纯用来做日后参考.
准不准确,就拭目以待.

下方是转载"信报"的资料库.

在「欧猪五国」债务危机波涛四起之际，德国《镜报》（Der Spiegel）為三大主要「欧猪」算一算3 年之内到期债券的流水账：

最早爆发危机的希腊2010－2012年到期的债务為158亿、313亿、317亿欧罗【图1】，总额约等於希腊3560亿美元GDP的27%；