截至目前礼拜三,区域股市普遍都已回弹.
我在此给予比较简短的看法.
香港恒升指数(HSI)
恒指的基本反弹点(22299)已接近满足.
上周大跌形成的跌空缺口也已回补.
预计接下来2个交易日,恒指继续攀升的概率偏低.
曹SIR研究部也在早前发出了一些研究数据供参考.
研究部计算了按市值计首百隻港股偏离50天线的幅度与排名。上周一此表中只有三成股份的股价位于50天线以下，但截至上周五却上升至五成半。故此，首百大市值港股的结构已经与以往数周不同，持货的投资者或要加倍留意。
如果从成交量方面着手，投资者会得到什麽启示？有见及此，研究部计算了过去数月的一个月（此文定义为二十二日）滚动升市及跌市平均成交量。9月初至10月中旬港股升市平均成交量均大于跌市平均成交量，但此趋势于本月开始模糊，到近日跌市平均成交明显增加，反映大市上升动力渐小，下跌动力渐大。
一浪高于一浪的股份比例愈来愈少，说明投资者必须非常精于选择行业及股份才能获利。
综合指数(FBMKLCI)方面,上周在表中只有54.7%股份的股价位于50天线以下，但截至本周三已上升至57.7%。对比10月高峰期是42.3%.目前看来,大部分股项还在不段往下走.如是顺势交易,您是要买还是卖?
新加坡海峡指数(STI)方面,看似又要尝试突破2803点.目前看来机会是有的,但还需要大市配合.我继续把本周波动范围定在2678-2846点.12月走势偏于横摆波动或下调的走势较大.
道琼工业(DJI)指数方面,走势和美元汇率较为密切.之前预测的目标点在10529,而载搞前高点位(10501),距离越来越近.
12月预测波动范围在10011-10609点.
◎ 曹仁超投资金句
-所谓兵贵神速，股市用兵应速战速决，有机会便全力进军，在最短时间内赚取最大利润。严格来说，牛眼投资法建议投资者挑选极具增长潜力的二线股份，那么无论牛市或熊市，我们的目光都应放在3至6个月内。
Investing is an art and highly emotional and subjective.
When buying stocks, if your buying decisions are based on"insiders' information or rumours" and not sound analysis, then you are gambling. Many investors enter the market when stocks prices are high (lacking of confidence to enter beforehand when prices were low). Once the stocks market crash, they tend to sell out their shares out of fear and pessimism, swearing to "chop off their fingers" and never enter the stocks market again. If such situation happens, all their previous gains may be wiped out and suffered a loss.
Investing is an art and highly emotional and subjective. Subjectivity is largely controlled by our emotions. There are times when we are optimistic or pessimistic. If we are unable to control our emotional weakness, we are unlikely to become successful investors.
To be successful, you must first understand yourself, in particular your emotions and the degree of pressure you can tolerate.
The investors should also analyse the country's economic prospects together with the earnings outlook of the major listed companies.
It is imperative that you like Mathematics as the sound mathematical knowledge plays a key role in investment.
财富為了实现梦想;而非梦想拥有财富 .
美元对亚洲货币走势图
Investing is an art and highly emotional and subjective. Subjectivity is largely controlled by our emotions. There are times when we are optimistic or pessimistic. If we are unable to control our emotional weakness, we are unlikely to become successful investors.
To be successful, you must first understand yourself, in particular your emotions and the degree of pressure you can tolerate.
The investors should also analyse the country's economic prospects together with the earnings outlook of the major listed companies.
It is imperative that you like Mathematics as the sound mathematical knowledge plays a key role in investment.
财富為了实现梦想;而非梦想拥有财富 .
美元对亚洲货币走势图
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Wednesday, December 2, 2009
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