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Investing is an art and highly emotional and subjective.

When buying stocks, if your buying decisions are based on"insiders' information or rumours" and not sound analysis, then you are gambling. Many investors enter the market when stocks prices are high (lacking of confidence to enter beforehand when prices were low). Once the stocks market crash, they tend to sell out their shares out of fear and pessimism, swearing to "chop off their fingers" and never enter the stocks market again. If such situation happens, all their previous gains may be wiped out and suffered a loss.

Investing is an art and highly emotional and subjective. Subjectivity is largely controlled by our emotions. There are times when we are optimistic or pessimistic. If we are unable to control our emotional weakness, we are unlikely to become successful investors.

To be successful, you must first understand yourself, in particular your emotions and the degree of pressure you can tolerate.

The investors should also analyse the country's economic prospects together with the earnings outlook of the major listed companies.

It is imperative that you like Mathematics as the sound mathematical knowledge plays a key role in investment.

财富為了实现梦想;而非梦想拥有财富 .
美元对亚洲货币走势图


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Sunday, June 22, 2008

对大市的看法.(回复股友提问)



道琼斯指数(DJI),周五刚跌破12000点心理支持.
就如前个帖子的说法如不辛的也守不主12000点,那11600点就是下个满足点了(这是fibonacci评估得出).在前2波的调整反弹区是很有参考基础.
如基于简单图型,预计11731点会有很多投机者在此抢反弹.DJI会在此得到短暂支持.反攻能力须看走势再评估.最低要求是站上12062点.目前为止,DJI基本走势始终属于下跌趋势.


反观海峡指数和其他的股市一样,都惯性跟随DJI起跌.
2978点的弱支持会是很好的技术参考.较强的支持在2946点.预计的下跌波动在55点范围内.而本周弱阻力是3070点.
打算在周一股市卖空的股友,我依然建议做单日交易,见好就收.
如是打算做多那就先避了.

sembmar方面,长期GMMA已停止往上发散.反倒是短期组GMMA,2周持续向下发散,短期走势很弱.股价目前处于长期均线支持区.
4.08的支持必须守注.这是图形上的支持价位.如选择在4.08入局抢反弹,那要严格定制止损价.
在FIBONACCI来评估,不同弱势的反弹满足点在4.00>3.78>3.43.也就是说可以考虑在4.08-4.05买入做反弹交易,止损定在3.98.把亏损%控制在5%范围内.sembmar短线阻力在4.20.
风险可以自己衡量一下,此股暂时还不算是下跌趋势股.该买该卖自己做主.
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