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Investing is an art and highly emotional and subjective.

When buying stocks, if your buying decisions are based on"insiders' information or rumours" and not sound analysis, then you are gambling. Many investors enter the market when stocks prices are high (lacking of confidence to enter beforehand when prices were low). Once the stocks market crash, they tend to sell out their shares out of fear and pessimism, swearing to "chop off their fingers" and never enter the stocks market again. If such situation happens, all their previous gains may be wiped out and suffered a loss.

Investing is an art and highly emotional and subjective. Subjectivity is largely controlled by our emotions. There are times when we are optimistic or pessimistic. If we are unable to control our emotional weakness, we are unlikely to become successful investors.

To be successful, you must first understand yourself, in particular your emotions and the degree of pressure you can tolerate.

The investors should also analyse the country's economic prospects together with the earnings outlook of the major listed companies.

It is imperative that you like Mathematics as the sound mathematical knowledge plays a key role in investment.


财富為了实现梦想;而非梦想拥有财富 .
美元对亚洲货币走势图


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Sunday, September 12, 2010

[沿图观市]综合指数和新加坡海峡指数

综合指数一周走势并没多大的变动,只有4个交易日,全周微涨2.1点.
这二周以来,综指成交量在佳节来临之即基本上是逐步减少.
接下来这周也只有4个交易日,走势预计进入闷局.
投资者或把关注点放在9月21日的政府一系列推动经济措施和预算案.

在均线系统方面,我已利用分析软件"优化"均线准确度.
在图表上显现的是10日和29日(EMA)均线.
在10日与29日均线还没形成"死叉",都不要过度看坏后市.
这二条均线只适合用来评估综指(波动市)是否已形成跌势的参考,
不适合用在个股或其他指数.
一般状况建议使用2日与26日均线.

以波浪角度观察,综指或已进入第4浪的调整阶段.
但这段调整幅度不会比前波(第2浪)调整来得大.
综指支持点在1417,1403,1391.
阻力点在1464,1478,1490.
预计综指接下来这周波动范围在1414-1460点

大马股票市场宽度:
目前股价高于50日均线比列是47.7%
8月最高点在68.8%;9月的最低点在44.6%,
市场有些许转好但很明示的和综指的走势却是背离的.

更细腻的挑选分析(均线必须保持前进势头),
股价同时高于10日均线和50日均线的股项比列是2.7%.
8月最高点在11.6%;9月的最低点在2.2%,
从这些数据看来,股友可在股市进入调整时,
适度买入周均线依然保持良好,而日线图走弱的股项.

海峡指数一周走势变动也不大.
全周小涨19.72点,走势持稳2910点之上.
在均线系统方面,我也已利用分析软件"优化"均线准确度.
在图表上显现的是8日和27日(EMA)均线.
在8日与27日均线还没形成"死叉",都不要过度看坏后市.
这二条均线只适合用来评估海指是否已形成跌势的参考,
不适合用在个股或其他指数.
在技术图观察,海指形态上有形成三从顶的风险.
一旦突破失败走跌,股友可利用8日和27日(EMA)均线研判跌势.
在形态上海指不跌破2890点,我依然保持当前波浪推测.

接下来这周海指的波动范围在2953-3091.
海指短期阻力在3065,3084,3100
支持在3006,2987,2973.
如失守2973点支持,指数有机会再下试2910支持.

目前市场讯息有看跌的也有看涨后市的理由,也形成指数出现牛皮市,
如果股友没有很强的信念很容易掉入陷井.
经过优化后的走势图分析,股友可为接下来的跌势或涨势做好准备.
既然已投入股市就要"有备而来".

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