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Investing is an art and highly emotional and subjective.

When buying stocks, if your buying decisions are based on"insiders' information or rumours" and not sound analysis, then you are gambling. Many investors enter the market when stocks prices are high (lacking of confidence to enter beforehand when prices were low). Once the stocks market crash, they tend to sell out their shares out of fear and pessimism, swearing to "chop off their fingers" and never enter the stocks market again. If such situation happens, all their previous gains may be wiped out and suffered a loss.

Investing is an art and highly emotional and subjective. Subjectivity is largely controlled by our emotions. There are times when we are optimistic or pessimistic. If we are unable to control our emotional weakness, we are unlikely to become successful investors.

To be successful, you must first understand yourself, in particular your emotions and the degree of pressure you can tolerate.

The investors should also analyse the country's economic prospects together with the earnings outlook of the major listed companies.

It is imperative that you like Mathematics as the sound mathematical knowledge plays a key role in investment.


财富為了实现梦想;而非梦想拥有财富 .
美元对亚洲货币走势图


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Sunday, September 26, 2010

[沿图观势]综合指数和新加坡海峡指数

综合指数本周终于出现比较大的调整,周五1451.19点挂收.
全周跌15.78点,综指成交量则增加了66.7%.
这周的走势的变盘是在921之后,
对于只研究现货指数的股友不会察觉任何迹象.
但变盘迹象在期货的走势可以察觉,这个分析我会留到下个涨势
启动后再做解读.

在技术图表上,我已标记了数浪符号.
这标记是属于比较小层次的数波浪形态.
当前指数位置属于a浪位置,基本调整幅度已满足.
接下来b浪即是一波反弹浪,是短线被套者逃生机会.
这波反弹位阻力在1458,1462,1466.
观察反弹力度后会再评估下一波跌势幅度.
指数支持点在1432,1428,1423.
预计综指接下来这周波动范围在1425-1477点

大马股票市场宽度:
目前股价高于50日均线比列是50%
8月最高点在68.8%;9月的最低点在44.6%,
比例微减1.7%.这次的调整主要是针对指数股.

更细腻的挑选分析(均线必须保持前进势头),
股价同时高于10日均线和50日均线的股项比列是3.7%.
8月最高点在11.6%;9月的最低点在2.2%,
这数据和前周比对减少3.6%,部分股项已面对套利盘.

对于综指,放大时间框架观察,更大层次的波浪是处于第3浪当中.
综指还有很大的上涨空间,节奏和时机把握得好,获利不难.
但要找有潜能涨100%的股票,难度比去年高很多.
如要加快获利能力,建议是开始做期货交易,
当然风险是比股票高一档,风险最高的是外汇交易.
曹SIR说的:"有智慧不如趁"势"",值得股友好好思考.
您是选择做回报有如龟速的"价值投资者",一天到晚炒炒卖卖短线客,
图表交易者,与庄供舞的跟庄者还是系统操作者?
有智慧不如趁"势",很讽刺的是侮辱了有智慧的人.

海峡指数本周走势还算稳建,周五以3092.68挂收.
全周涨16.3点,走势继续站稳第3浪顶3043点.
海指处于第五浪走势.基本目标点3135点.
3150点为第五浪的极限.
海指目前处于中间位置,距离低位3043点有49点,距离目标点还有60点.

接下来这周海指的波动范围在3026-3159.
海指短期阻力在3100,3135,3150
支持在3037,3013,2988.
如海指失守3043点形态上支持,指数波浪计算须从新评估.

美国道指方面,周五高收以10860挂收.
9月累积上涨了845点.9月的合理上涨幅度已经满足,
接下来的涨幅都属于比较高风险的涨幅不值得追.
预计在11000点之前会有小调整,但来临10月的涨势可期.



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